Map/D23/23.1

III · D23 · 23.1

AI-enabled WMD proliferation

Lower barriers for non-state actors.

Catastrophic · 5PlausibleMidRisk 10

Severity

5/5

Likelihood

2/5

In the hierarchy

  1. Part III: Governance, Power & Existential Concerns
  2. D23. Catastrophic & Existential Risk
  3. 23.1 Catastrophic misuse

Virtues and principles to explore

Held as inquiry, not as a verdict.

  • Hope

    Hope

    Stand in uncertainty, where there is room to act — not in optimism or despair.

  • Humility

    Center principle

    The map is larger than any one of us.

  • Courage

    Hope

    Act without the comfort of certainty.

Starter questions

Written to probe curiosity and learning, not accusation.

  1. 01What would trustworthiness look like here: what we do, what we say, and the belief others form?
  2. 02What would it look like if we held “AI-enabled WMD proliferation” with proportion rather than alarm?
  3. 03If we named this complication in advance, what small, reversible step would let us learn?
  4. 04How would we know we were getting this wrong? What would we observe, without blaming a person?

Also on this branch

Frameworks and sources

See also exemplar policies.

Writing and incidents

Open indexes first. Then, if you wish, ask Grok to search the live web for this concern — one request, cached for the rest of this session.

Catastrophe, loss of control, and the disagreement about how to think about either.